Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 73.508175 82.699447 92.084027 102.350803 113.235698 124.402934 136.696801
2025-10-05 62.092822 75.656131 90.089171 106.461835 124.397236 143.336317 164.738906
2025-10-12 54.542838 70.605778 88.227844 108.732371 131.691688 156.390675 184.760885
2025-10-19 47.072769 64.652775 84.508221 108.154810 135.150392 164.658790 199.019162
2025-10-26 41.018057 59.647105 81.271384 107.572678 138.114345 171.958439 211.821202
2025-11-02 36.592231 56.129801 79.383561 108.197506 142.149652 180.207774 225.459782
2025-11-09 32.071438 52.073305 76.508288 107.357852 144.233884 186.029018 236.171478
2025-11-16 28.611421 49.054779 74.645988 107.507784 147.290784 192.815693 247.853253
2025-11-23 25.046700 45.584700 71.975441 106.465235 148.759726 197.623955 257.145820
2025-11-30 22.907885 43.863669 71.383293 107.862529 153.053743 205.654905 270.101569
2025-12-07 21.101095 42.449783 71.072750 109.517840 157.587993 213.916538 283.287930
2025-12-14 18.495373 39.653980 68.773189 108.520990 158.776644 218.136032 291.685304
2025-12-21 15.662323 36.281928 65.549309 106.241915 158.335867 220.406478 297.824421
2025-12-28 15.118034 36.418701 67.117549 110.179801 165.631957 231.973815 314.972164
2026-01-04 14.136317 35.760899 67.516059 112.537021 170.917565 241.099430 329.216742
2026-01-11 12.379742 33.656030 65.752741 111.941296 172.414458 245.589627 337.910981
2026-01-18 10.799535 31.678885 64.058460 111.348797 173.847332 249.951706 346.413416
2026-01-25 9.683755 30.403205 63.314751 111.985751 176.810664 256.157223 357.107410
2026-02-01 8.321831 28.506261 61.538705 111.129587 177.791166 259.882551 364.783502
2026-02-08 7.317020 27.168067 60.533557 111.282472 180.038453 265.143291 374.294431
2026-02-15 6.168643 25.369603 58.713490 110.219325 180.641317 268.323251 381.251912
2026-02-22 5.598082 24.722564 58.671569 111.644208 184.498701 275.550482 393.130947
2026-03-01 5.120320 24.219054 58.827961 113.332001 188.692715 283.195160 405.521914